Saturday, August 14, 2010

A best choice for our State best Interest!





Clean Solar Energy and high Speed Rail Road; we have a big debate and a big difference between governor candidates and supports, among pro and con ideas to high speed Rail Road.


I am a fan of high speed Rail Road supporters, but I am also a fiscal responsibility taker and clean solar energy advocate. HP train is a fabulous idea. It can be a reality in the right time of our future. We could not deny this high speed idea. We love to bring more convenient and high technology public transportation to Californians but we also must look at our fiscal responsibility and our budget.


This high speed Rail Road project could cost us more than 45 billion. How much fund we will receive from Federal, less than 10 billion? Do we have budget deficit now? Do we have available fund to make it happen now? Do we have plans to raise fund for this project and how? Or we have to go deeper in debt that we should not afford this future dream. First we have more than one project to create jobs that is a critical issue for our Sate. Therefore we have to pick better choice, make strong and smart decision that upon the best interest for our Golden State in which for all Californians. It must not favor any individual or any interest groups. The one must be more practical and cost less to get us out of debt. The one must be created jobs immediately and makes profits as quick as in which is Clean Solar Energy more realistic than high speed Rail Road.


I would think the high speed train is putting in the right place as California but it is not a right time to do it. We need more time. We will have this Hp train with solar system that could be lowest energy consumer. I prefer a design of HP train should be combined using solar panels from top cover to windows. Each train station from North to South California should be build by solar and ready to prepare for a clean train recharged station. Before we can do it, we need a big plan and strong commitment from all level of local and State Agencies. We also need resources as funding.


We always set priority for ourselves in which to cut debt than adding it on. First of all we must make it happen for our State. We need to take fiscal responsibility seriously. We need to rebuild California in the right direction. The questions we should ask ourselves how much benefits from each projects, how many jobs we can create from it and how long can we get paid off for its project?


I would think Clean Solar Energy for Every California home is a better one for us right now. This is a best and fastest way to bring California comeback kid to work. We can save the costs from high price of oil importing. We can collect profit right after installation every minute, every sunshine day. We also can save the costs from protection our environment by creating more greens and reducing carbon emissions.


Should we choose a high speed Rail Road or a Clean Solar energy for each home?

Monday, August 2, 2010

A message to Candidates!


San Jose, August, 2010



To my friends and Candidates from California State, I would like to advice gently a few things to all of you. I hope you will study and complete it for our State best interests for our great America! This is an invaluable piece of advice for the coming election.


We all know not only our state has faced the nation entire economic downturn, from financial industry in crisis, auto business in collapse, home ownership in losing their American dream and more serious problem like healthcare and education in losing their funds to run. California itself has been among the state with highest unemployment rate, budget deficit, very expensive living costs. From energy to a parking spot, from a daily meal to movie ticket, from education to health care deductible check –up and so on.


We need a new vision from government leadership where can give back our principles so our economy can thrive again. We need a strong and clean state enterprise to put our “country first” theme, to make a serious reforms, to bring the bright future and hope for our children in many generations to come.


We all know that California State is the third largest State in the United State of America, with over 38 million populations, ranking the first in the nation. We are the eight largest economies in the world; our State GSP is about 1.9 trillion in 2009. California is a great State, inheriting a wonderful climate and weather from God, with 350 days of sunshine a year on average. The climate in California is generally warm and dry across all seasons. We are a leading State in technology and many other fields. We have a diverse population and the largest immigration movement. We are proud one of State with colorful cultures and ethics. We are also remembering that our state nick name is golden for the past, present and future, for this generation and many generations. We need to remain strong and competitive to protect and to grow our State in the right direction for our children future. Of course, it will not be enough to bring my point of views and present my problem solving concept here in one or two pages. I could write a book for it. I will try to lay out most priorities issues in the five-point- plan that will make all easy to follow to act.


The Five-Point Plan for our golden state:


Job Creating Reform: restore our Golden State to prosperity


We are in an emergency level within 12.3 percentage of unemployment. We need to stop our jobs sourcing out of the State. We need to create and make California comeback to work, to be one of technology and productivity leading on the World Economy. We should not only depend on Federal stimulus packages. We should not keep creating money by selling state bonds and treasuries and maintain an irresponsible and brainless spending. We need to be in the Vanguard State of a movement in many serious reforms from energy, immigration, education, union and ourselves, State Enterprise. Those reforms will bring significant results in creating more jobs to California. As I already mention above Union is just an old fashion barricade that makes us weak and less competition in our economy growth and expansion. We would not forget what benefits Unions have brought to our society in the past decades but we also need to make clearly Union is not politicians, and not State elected officials. We want to make sure Unions perform its roles well under controlling of State Government and regulations. State is ready to create more jobs by choosing and giving State contracts to local contractors and businesses. We have spent billions of dollars each fiscal year by giving away our money to other foreign companies by buying their supplies and products. We have lost our manufacturing jobs by outsourcing to foreign continentals for cheaper labor with less quality. All State Projects must have a fairly bid process for all local contractors, not to be favored by Union. We are in 21st century for doing businesses. We need to recognize the global pressure and competition as well as Unions. We want to share our responsibilities and stress Unions are not impact of our society today. Union must restructure itself and follow the flow of globe of human kind.


We all see the example of our leading Auto Industry in collapse last years because the weak and inefficiency management. More to mention to push hundred of thousand our hard working American in losing jobs. We must realize this is an old system of Union with high costs and lack of competitions to the global economy. If we are not strong and ready to emphasize the Union system; we are in trouble for doing and protecting our economic system.


Our State is one of largest economies in the World. We are a State, leading on a technology and energy. We need to be creative and vision. We need to be leader and motivator. We need a “welcome package”. This incentive package will include affordable corporation tax, cheap energy, comfortable license, and rewarding, for all corporations who have build plants, manufacturer present headquarters in our State for doing business.


Energy Reform: a God’s gift


By maintain our jobless rate under 5 percent and erasing all or and any poverty that occur in our State. We need all level of local governments. Union, school, agencies both private and public sectors get together for a big effort in saving and creating jobs. We have clean energy and public transportation are two majors of businesses here in California. We need to focus on for creating more jobs for our State by developing and investing in making free and clean energies for all single California households. Just make a simple calculation with over 39 million in population, and an average 10 million households. How much California has to spend over 100 million dollar each single day for energy cost? We should be a large clean energy supplier to ourselves and to other neighboring States. As I mention a “welcome package” above, we can provide for those plants, manufacturers and headquarters with a priceless energy. This is also a key to attract more business growth for our State and we have more jobs. We will have higher income tax revenue, more sale taxes, and less social benefit spending. We must recognize this is a huge energy cost for our State. We have a larger resources included scientists, innovators, inventors, investors and many technological researcher centers here in California. We must have a clean energy system which cost less for all Californians.


State Gov/Enterprise Reform: hold State Government Accountability


First, the State failed to recognize its incompetence and costly enterprise to run California. Second, the State failed to create a vision and having a weak leadership that can leads our State out of crisis. We must know this enterprise is a very complicated and a large one to restructure. Third, we failed to select right candidates for State to run this enterprise an economically and effectiveness as it should be run. There are a series of questions to ask our enterprise Government such as our taxes are now high enough, State structure is efficient and does not have the ability enough to run the big State like California? Or is it too large and too uneconomical organization for California? What about manpower resource. Technology that State has applied to the organization? These issues are not bringing a constructive enterprise government to run our State and hinder our economic prosperity. State needs to restructure this organization from manpower resources to their own legislations, from fiscal responsibility to budget and their own style of State spending. State should evaluate all manpower resources for its performance and apply more technology for a better operation. State must rethink about pension plans for the better California interests, not in short but long term. This burns billion dollar by fiscal year and we all know this is main reason to create a California budget deficit every year. We need to recommend the revaluation, regulation and correction all State Pension and non essential programs to cut State costs. We will recommend State at their effectiveness and efficiency organization from its size and performance. We will recommend State to reevaluate any agencies and organizations to be rewarded by State funds. If the State can relocate their manpower resources to the right place, at an appropriate agency. This is a big saving for our budget. It also recommends State to control the cost of living and the inflation in which distracts more people and businesses to move or relocate from the State. We should not over tax to cover for our irresponsible and unintelligent spending. We should make the right and smart choice when it comes to spending.


Immigration Reform: a Right thing to do now


We all know immigration is one of our big national issues but we are California, we must again to break a way and to be a leadership in this movement. This is a right choice to do for our great country. We have not falling back but have to face ahead with the matter and lead it to the bright future for all Californians. We have a largest population with over 2.5 million illegal immigration in California. They need to be legalized and be added in our revenue system. We need to do it by our heart and our interest by setting a time table for all to be legal Californians. This will bring a stable economy not only for our society from all social evils. The best benefits create a strong and well trained manpower resource for State. We need to remain a high productivity Economy. It also helps to increase our taxes revenue with less State budget deficit.


Education Reform: a Must for our future


One of our State biggest budget expenses is education. Absolutely we need to spend more money on our children education. But we have to spend the money efficiency and effectively. We have almost 1000 districts in California. Just image how much money do we need to this kind of overhead expenses? The money should spend on the classroom, supplies, and technologies for our children not for the heads of the district.


For our State and children bright future, we must continue to support and invest in our children good education. With a broken system it will never bring back our best education for all our young generations to come. We must to restructure and clean our education system with more policy and more competence to deliver to the best to our children. One competent education system is to help the inability of children to be good students for the future. A system that will deliver our smart children with an advance technology and tools for solid future. A system that can create a foundation for all our children with a career in research, and to develop their skills and ability for success. We have to make sure every level in State has obeyed the one system that measures all students with math, reading and writing skills. We want to make sure every tax paid dollars have is spend in the right and appropriate place for the best possible child’s benefit.


Yours truly,


Kenneth Phan


Monday, July 26, 2010

A message for Meg!




Dear Meg,
My name is Kenneth Phan, who has been a California Resident, living in Santa Clara County for 20 years; I have grown up and build a life here. My family and I saw brilliant changes from a prosperous period such as a booming of dot.com, high technology, and real estate investment to the time of economic downturn as deficit budget, higher debt, rising unemployment and many more. I am proud to be Californian. I feel I have a responsibility to contribute to a need in State Government reshuffle. To rebuild California and bring the prosperity back to this Golden State. I take carefully sending to you, a bright, determine and prospect candidate, this message including a seven point-plan to success for your campaign

We have many questions to ask like unsolved problems in which when solved has many results. We will chose what is the best answer for all, and we will select it as the only best strategy to apply on. In California today, one of hardest problems to solve is that of Union and its effect on employment. This is not only for the State of California but also Federal Government. Union issue is leading directly to many others difficulties such as employment in crisis, wages and benefit costs, lack of competition, budget deficit and long term benefits for all California retirement plans. How to convince Californian, how to make sure especially those who benefits from those golden interests. To understand our lovely State is under perilous condition and can fail completely at any time.
As I already mention, you need to present clearly and firmly to voters about our State in urgency in rebuilding. Soon or later we are facing a huge cost of pension plan. We face a higher jobless rate. We will offset some of budget crisis cause of loss of tax revenue, especially to all Union members. I know it is hard to hear, it is hard to accept, it is hard to get to their hearts but it is a must. You need to deliver it from bottom of your heart, your mind and your belief. To present the message with a strong and clear feeling to prevent California State in progressing for bankruptcy. A clear message with correct information and a full analysis about the consequences if we are not going to act soon. We must all act together to stop bankruptcy of California.
Many past years, California voters have been misleading about our State condition. From deficit budget to other problems. We never have any actual plans or ideas on how to smartly and rightfully create jobs and save costs. Before we make a revolution, we need a strong and skillfully experienced leadership to lead California out of depression and prepare for a better future for all of us including next generations. You should point out a current State Government has a lack of management plan which could destroy our Golden State. Any resolutions are required to sacrifice personal interests for the best interests for our future and our many next generations. This is a must to act today rather than tomorrow. Time does not wait for anybody and time is very precious. We cannot afford to lose every second because the stakes is too high for us to dwell on what might have done. Thomas Jefferson quotes: “Never put off till tomorrow what you can do today.”

7 point –plan to success:

1. True believe! Show your seriously from bottom of your heart and fight hard for your belief. What you can do for Californians. Lay out your goal and plan with details by creating a road map for California Enterprise. You must show your directness, your strength and determination.


2. Successful Organization: A complete and successful organization from top to bottom, from campaign manager to staff members to register voters. Give a clear guiding and follow correctly from top to bottom. First you must lead and show your talent, knowledge, skill how to organize your campaign. Second to lay a detail plan to restructure a big enterprise as California Government. Establishing an organization structure to accomplish collective goals where your campaign will evolves to increase the effectiveness of the organization’s control of the activities necessary to achieve its goals. Your organizational skill with a smart strategy, and strong management from head of campaign, campaign spokesperson to staffs and volunteers would be a crucial for success.

Make sure operation running smoothly and it is essential for the message from top management campaign to be consistent and unanimous to subordinated teams.

3. Spending smartly and rightfully: Must show your skill and experience how to run and control money and resources like a big State as California. You need to do one thing for me please. Try to build and raise and maintain a small donor by 5 dollar contribution and empire that flows over and over again and time. Only from every single voters by any convenient way, like internet. This is not only about money you want to collect but you also want to get in touch with voters and you want get their heart for your goal. You should reserve a part of your heart to carry them over the election. Take a consideration our expression: “The more people get involved, the better off its result will be”.

4. Show your respect to other differences and how to react and represent your point of view: invest on the best interest for their own children. Always to be optimistic but don’t be too superiorly to voters.

5. Make sure to maximize using technologies and media on your campaign. Make sure to use face to face to create virtual offices from every county in State.

6. Never underestimate your rival. Remember in the old phrase” if you know yourself and your enemy, you can fight 100 battles and win them all.”
7. I would also recommend an open meeting, if you can invite at least 300-500 Fortune CEOs all over United State of America to come together in California with the ideas they would share.

First, we try to get ideas how to rebuild California State from the crisis, job, foreclosure, and energy. Second, it is a right time to share the differences and get supports from them.

Third, you can show to undecided voters or independent voters that you have capacity and ability to unite; from investors to communities therefore we can rebuild Golden State. Make sure you carry new and welcome plan outlined to attract investors, foreign capitals to Golden State. We need a crucial and promised package that make a warranty for the private sector that is a main part of our economy and private sector is a key to create more jobs that is a crucial point for this election in coming months.

Yours truly,

Thursday, July 8, 2010

A letter to US. Congress!


San Jose July 4, 2010

A letter to U.S. Congress!
Shame on you, while a million hard-working Americans are struggling with unemployment benefits, and facing a difficult living daily without job, without bread and butter on their dining table. U.S. Congress, especially our senators are servants of the people whom are left for the vacations, leaving a critical issue that incomplete business in unemployment extension benefit. Don’t you see there is anything wrong with this picture, Mr. Senator?
This shows Americans, our broken politic system in Washington, an infective and inefficiency leadership we have. This also shows the careless and a very disappointed to Americans. We have wasting a million of million dollars each year for elections from local to federal, to encourage Americans in voting, join in any ways and raise their voice and contribution to the election but this is one of the fact that makes them be away from our Government system, they get tireless and lack confident on Government. Just look at on our polls every year and season, how many percent Congress get approve from Americans. We need to do something better than that, don’t you agree? In fact, we need to restructure our imperfect system that will bring smoothly and make ours more efficaciously.
No matter how much politic is going on in Washington right now, those of type emergencies need to be act fully and quickly for the best interest of our nation. This will show how much you sincere care and take responsibility for our citizens. The American people need your helps. Congress need to get together to solve this exigency. The Obama administration need to stand up and shows fully support for this bill strongly and firmly. Upon your return, Please take an action not talk. Please do not play politic on somebody feelings. Please United We will succeed!
Yours truly,
Kenneth Phan
P.O.Box 21001
San Jose, Ca 95151

Friday, July 2, 2010

A Letter to the President!






The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20500
San Jose July 2, 2010

A Letter to the President!
Dear Mr. President:

Over the past years, I have seen your administration and U.S Congress tried many efforts to prevent our economy into great depression. Our country is now in a recession. First we did help to bail out a 100 years auto industry. Second we helped in the time of the financial industry in collapse. Third is to prevent mortgage crisis that bring up million homes into foreclosure. So far we have very positive impacts in helping banking, lending out of the problems so Auto businesses would be stable. The news shows GM is going to return over eight billion back to TARP program. The Ford Corporation also paid back about 4 billion dollars to reduce their debt. This is a very optimistic point in the last many months but still have an obstacle way to pass along before we can see the light at the end of the tunnel.
I know you feel the pain from our hard working families in losing their homes. The home they have been living for years. The government has tried a few programs so lenders to help resolve this huge crisis, but we are still far away from this troubling problem. The pro and con among lenders and government goes around and around for many months. The mathematic problem that we should low interest rate, prolong mortgage terms and reduce the principal? The main issue we need to clear here is principal reducing for those underwater properties. My problem solving now is to reduce it but still can produce a constructive result for all involved parties and for own economy in the long run.
I have a better strategy; I want to share one simple proverb from my motherland: “Lieu com gap mam” try to seize the bowl of rice but forget the whole table of food…

What I mean we should create a “swap plan” for all in which we can help single home ownership with underwater mortgage to swap their primary resident to the one where they still can live. They would be able to make an affordable payment for their life time. They still can contribute back to their society. This plan will help to make our housing market stably. This plan will help to prevent another foreclosure wave. This plan needs a full support from all lending services. They need support from your administration where lenders help to finance and all level of your government. Federal will direct the housing marketing grow in the right direction. I am sure this plan will help to prevent the commercial real estate into the domino crash process in the near soon. This will also help us to create more jobs and pass through this crisis quicker. Maybe it will make our economy recovery sooner but it could create a healthy environment for our economy in general.

Yours truly,
Kenneth Phan




Saturday, October 31, 2009

A wonderful memory!


A wonderful memory!

Dear Mr. President, CSU Faculty and staffs:

San Jose, 2009
A week has been passed but a wonderful memory still remains there. First at all, I want to thank Mr. CSU President and all of CSU falcuty and staffs who have put extra miles in planning a very successful graduation ceremony last week. My family and I very happy, proud and so surprised by a very thoughtful preparation. Moreover, the warm, sweet and ardour from all of CSU members. Especially Ms. Sonya who give us a very nice tour and hearty welcome. Ms. Jessica, she is a great marketing director, and Mr. Larry Williams, a professor whom I have a great, friendly and sympathetic conversation. There are many another CSU members as a hero without name. Words could not express completely what I mean all. This is not only my impression and feelings but from others I have conversations with.
We all hope CSU will reach to the goals and remain as the number one provider in bringing high quality education and practical leaning programs to our generation and next generation to come, from every corner, every places of our Planet through a great technology we have available today. We wish CSU will always be a role model, a strong leader as a world higher learning organization to serve our great nation and the world around. We always pray CSU will accomplish that dream.
Yours very truly,
Kenneth Phan

Wednesday, July 8, 2009

A Message to Lovely Vietnamese Community:

San Jose, July 08



A Message to Lovely Vietnamese Community: In my heart and many other Vietnamese, we believe that Vietnamese will have a bright future, successfully involved in American politics. We see a clear path for young Vietnamese who are fascinating in a future in American Democratic Politics. The community believes that we will get damages if we vote a worthless candidate to represent for the community’s interests. We will not have best elected officials at government Agencies. The voice so far has not been heard. The community political strength has not been recognized by other minor and major communities in America. Any elections lies at the heart of the relationship between communities and issues. It is most crucial to have a clear plan and election strategy for the community on how to select a candidate and support the most qualified candidate to win. To be a successful politician who not only understand and study politic deeply but also have a vision, wide-knowledge and know how to take an opportunity determinedly and make a solid decision for political vision and influence in public services. It is not only to have a reputation, money and high education but also a politician needs to build their own solid coalition, earning their own root of support and have a best representative for community issues where they live and reach out community daily needs. We are as ingenious and hard-working Vietnamese who have been building a strong and united community in many years. Now is the time for us to have a campaigned organization to support Vietnamese candidates for local, state and federal positions. A VCO, (Vietnamese Campaigned Organization) not only to raise funds, to make best agenda for a selected candidate to develop. We should choose a qualified candidate who will represent for the Vietnamese community's rights and interests after a preliminary election process. People know that most campaign organization will not survive in any forms once the campaign ends. With the VCO where we will be active all year-long, within 365 days a year by preparing for the next elections, seeking resources, looking the ideal candidate for community representative. VCO will conduct the political Candidates debate, open Political Events and Seminars for freshmen politicians by inviting senior elected officials and political experts for lectures. Remembering, together we can stand strong to make a tremendous difference. It is the opportunity for Vietnamese to create a political foundation for succeeding generations to come.



Respectfully,



Kenneth Phan

Monday, December 8, 2008

USA with a past & present lesson!


Because of its established history, The United State of America has a society combined by many different cultures, languages, race, religious, classes and lifestyles. U.S. is at the cutting edge of leading technology and science society. There are differences in social activities between communities in U.S country such as religion, languages and custom. All in all, Americans take seriously individual liberty and self-made very much. Family, community, religion, or organization is secondary than privacy rights.
Firstly, it is a great nation where its acreage is the third largest one in the world and with over 300 million people descendant from full where differently in the World. United States of America is a most manifold society in the world. Even though Americans majority is accounted descendant from Europe, American-born, Asian American, African American and Hispanics population are growing by time. Presently, per year there is up to over one million migrant non resident come to subsistent United States of America and work for the living, and anticipation come to in the year 2050 only still white Americans is seized fewer than 50%. The United State of America also stands for a democracy and human rights nation where U.S. always promotes and encourages other countries for its movements. U.S. government system, to inception such as a experimenting about freedom and democracy in the year 1776, have already been testified it be ably unusual restoration and accommodation. Though often to classification as a democracies, United States might be defines accuracy such as a constitutionality federal republic system of government. It means “constitutionality "related to constitution fact that United States of America government is administration based upon ‘supreme law of the land’. The U.S. constitution is above Federal and State laws like U.S Statutory and U.S. Administration law. It is layout the framework and functions of U.S national government. In fact, it is a federal system with three branches where U.S congress (legislative) creates and passes laws through parliaments and president (executive) enforce and defenses those laws and judicial branch review and protect these laws. Each State have their own state laws and regulation but not vs. or unconstitutional federal laws. United States of America politics System chiefly owes to two biggest Democratic and Republican parties. United States of America constitution stipulate United States of America parliament has foreign trade control rights and decides on impost. However, owing to increase either impost reduction, import quota assignment, or overture international trade agreements is very sophisticated and affect benefit not only United States of America possession but also who of countries differ; therefore some responsibility in parliament has been managed by authorized executive agencies. To make sure federal agencies to perform commercial regulations correctly and beneficially, these agencies have a request to consult with congress regularly and have notification universally on mass Medias for a best of the general public's opinion. In addition, Congress has an authorization to control and carry out commerce laws and programs by budgetary distributing to Federal Agencies. Business policy is the basic factor of the diplomatic and economic policy the United States of America. Because the most important of the economy policy reflects to the deep and wide nation interests so U.S fed government have strongly influences to national or international businesses.
The United State of America is a greatest economy nation in the last many decades and still remains its title for next many years to come. During 1907s to present, U.S. economy has been experienced in up and down periods but it is still a strong and leading economy in the globe. Most historical memory was an U.S. great depression economy in 1929 till late 1930 where were carried along stock market crash, banking collapse and unemployment rate has been soar at 19.7% followed. According to Allen, Frederick Lewis (1940), “Between 1930 and 1939 U.S. unemployment averaged 18.2%. The economy's output of goods and services (gross national product) declined 30 percent between 1929 and 1933 and recovered to the 1929 level only in 1939.” Another history lesson is the great commodities depression among 1980 to 2000, generally recession in commodity prices. In addition, the initial report by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), declare a recession that lasted from March 2001 to November 2001, as real gross domestic product dropped during the period by 0.2 percent total from the fourth quarter of 2000. During president Bill Clinton Administration, 1990s, U.S economy was very strongly growing and beginning slower in the early 2000s and tipped into a recession in 2001. After this light recession in early year 2001, U.S economy was started to re-grow with an averaged peed is 2.9 % yearly from 2002 to 2006. Meanwhile, inflation about prices, rate of unemployment and interest rates are still sustained in low relative level. By many potential and weight economy policies and measures, The U.S. economy is still remains its position in highly competing power, largest quantitative production and there is affected range to most intensive in the world. According to non-profit board about competition, in stage from 1995 to year 2005, direct contributing U.S growth of global economy degree tri-level portion. In stage from 1983 to 2004, United States's importation increase giddiness and make up about 20% in export boost level riches is cosmopolitan. However, U.S economy is affected from many other dynamical economies nowadays. At present, U.S still has to face with both challenges comes from indoor and aboard. The U.S housing market has been downturn reflect the bubble markets last many years. Moreover, Financial Industry such as sub-prime mortgage has been crisis, oil demand is at high and jobless is increasing in time in which gives a warning to a possible recession. There are a few warnings to prove that global economy will change more scientifically and create huge impact to the U.S economy balance in coming years. Developing nations have been growth faster last years and seizes United States of America's more and more mickle portion among goods is exported, 32.8% in 1985 while in 2006, this proportion is 47%. Developing nations also seize 34.5% United State’s importations in 1985 and 54.7% in 2006. In 2007, US total, all counties trade is $3.495 trillion, import rose 5.9 % to a record $2.333 trillion while exports grew12.2 % to a record $1.162 trillion. The top US leading trading partners are Canada, Mexico, China, Japan, UK and Brazil is at 13 ranking.
U.S federal Government has an important role in creation jobs and promoting economic
development and makes sure the economic inflation and unemployment rates low as
possible and keep the common price level and a burden of taxation is manageable
acquired. President and Congress will have control budget expenditure and tax
spending. In the United States, we have Federal Reserve System where it runs
and a control by Board of Governors is the Central Banking system of U.S. It has been
called a short name as “Fed”. It is an organization to include a number of State’s
momentousness and private institutions. Nowadays, most of Central Banks in the world
has more than mains bi-functional number: administer currency policy and assure
stabilization and secure give trade bank in particular and some portion to system is
national finance system. U.S Central Bank’ roles are to control, balance and regulate the
supply of money in the U.S economy. They maintain fund resources at a Federal Reserve
Banks to play a major role in the US banking system for demand and supply at private
banks. Fed will supervise all of U.S banking system. Summarily, in U.S. ‘banking
system, liquidity inter-bank offer rates LIBOR that most private institutions borrowed to
manage often flap in Fed Funds Rate and Discount Rate are two policy tools to monitor.
The most important body of Fed Reserve System is Federal Open market Committee
(FOMC) where responsibly research and propose currency policy to sustain the
stabilization of the prices and boost the economy. First, it is important to realize that all
countries experience the relationship of trading and investment with each other. U.S.
economy is a biggest international trading-partner to most countries therefore the U.S
economy’ growth and declines always have a huge impact to the world economy. It has
been affected not only currency exchanges and interest rates systems of each regimes but
it has been also affected by U.S Discount and Federal Funds Rates where influenced
and regulated by US Federal Reserve Bank. A dictum sentence of economists: “when
Uncle Sam splashes blow-off, the entire world gets cold”
During passed centuries, U.S. international trade and economic policies have been
significant changes to reply the changes from aboard. U.S GDP ranking rate in 2007 is
still remains first, reach $13.84 trillion, with less than five percent world populations.
Only possession GDP is a state of California reaches $1.5 trillion in 2007, transcended
GDP of all of countries, only subtract 8 countries, entering that year. It is also firstly rate
in import turnover with over $2 .2 trillion, three times larger than Germany, a second
place. About export is second place, reaches 1.1 trillion, only after Germany. U.S
dominated many export markets but according to forecast, China will outmarch U.S in
2008 about services export with $422 billion dollars. US has trade deficit highest rate
since post war period with $847 billion in 2007, outgrows so many times than any other
countries. This reflects Americans saving less than spending compares Europe and Japan.
The most conflict issue since 1985 to present is the trade deficit with China in goods that
will approach $256.3 billion in 2007, dramatically up from last year's record of $232.5
billion. US exports to China reach $65.2 billion and imports are at $321.5 billion in 2007. US exports to Japan reaches $ 62.7 and imports 145.6 billion in 2007. US exports to Brazil reaches $24.6 billion and imports $25.6 billion in 2007. US’s trade deficit to Japan is only $82.7 billion in 2007 compared to China $ 256.3 billion in 2007 and Brazil is far less than China and Japan, at $1 billion or 0.4% in 2007.Between US and Brazil is at good stage to keep a lowest trade deficit since last two years. Most of the US leading industries in international trade, export and import are advanced technologies equipments, steel, automobiles, and aerospace, and telecommunication, chemical and other consumer goods. USA reaches $1.14 trillion in export and $1.96 trillion import in 2007. Their key trading partners are Canada 21.4%, Mexico 11.7%, China 5.6%, Japan 5.4%, UK 4.3%, and Germany 4.3%. Most of the USA exports-commodities are agricultural products (soybeans, fruit and corn); industrial supplies and capital goods reach 49%. In the imports-commodities are most of industrial supplies with 32.9% (crude oil 8.2%) and consumer goods as 31.8%.
The United States of America economy is a biggest trading partner to most countries therefore the US economy growth and declines always have a huge impact to the World economy. It has been affected not only currency exchanges rate used and interest rates system of each regimes but it has been also affected by U.S Discount and Federal Funds rates where be influenced and regulated by US Central Banks. US has two exchange rate regimes to operate its exchange currency market since 1958 to 1973, US has applied fixed exchange rate regime that called Bretton Woods system and at the middle of the year 1973 US policy has been toward to flexible exchange rate regime. According to the Sanjay Ramchander, “The collapse of Bretton Woods or the fixed exchange rate system in 1973, along with the coinciding growth in global trade, and greater mobility of capital have all contributed to an increase in exchange rate volatility. Concerns about exchange rate levels and volatility have prompted central banks to actively intervene in foreign currency markets from time to time. “(P-1) The US Central Bank is called Federal Reserves system where it is has full power to monitor and regulate the domestic monies supply and has an effective credit policies tool that help to run the national financial market. It also monitors the foreign lending and direct investment and banking in US territory. The Fed will directly keep in touch with other Central Banks has strong influences in the US monetary and fiscal policies. Since 1934, US dollar was starting to lost it value and less than 60% content of gold therefore it effects a rising price of gold and till late of 1971s the convertibility of dollar to gold has been suspended for opening the new chapter of exchange rate regime in US. The US currency has a big change its value since 1971s, increasing the gold price 8.57% to US $38.00 per fine ounce. US dollar has been dominated World exchange markets for many decades. Because US dollar is very popular and most trust paper in circulation therefore it becomes the most reserve currency for another nation in the World today after gold. The US dollar today has other very competitive currencies such as Japanese money (Yen), German (Mark), and new one, Euro in which US has a major change in foreign exchange policy such as an exchange rate will be determined in the demand and supplies of monies; no more minimum requirement for a full of gold content and foreign exchange for the national currency in the mid 1978s. Presently, The US Federal Reserve still keeps interest rate at low point through end of this year. It is might be a good chance for foreign investors to own more US‘s s assets than any other time. US notes has been stored as reserves by many nations and dominated by many markets. In fact, most of the currency exchange activities today are often under the terms of US dollar. US Dollar and other major currency as Japan and Europe have been seizing about 60% of all currency exchange transaction on the World.
At present, US economy faces a series problems, trade deficit reaching up 5.7% to $62.0 billion in July 2008 compared with $58.8 billion in June 2008. This is a highest mark in the last 16 months. The housing market has been crisis since 2005, following the jobless rate was rising up 6.1% in August 2008 which is the highest in 10 years. The financial industry in general, as lending and mortgages has been come to a crisis to lead to the failure of Fannies and Freddie and other Banks. This issue is remaining unclear evidence when it could be coming to the end. Although last couple weeks oil price was go down a little at $102.58 per barrel compared $150 in June 2008 but its high demand is still there, not only in US but on the World. All of these elements are being continued to drag down US economy. The US GDP in the first six month of year 2008 indicates the slowdown of the economy. Moreover, the inflation keep move slowly up, even the economy growth been declined. This is important indicator of whole economy need to be control as mush as. In the next expectation for U.S Economy’s growth would take another 2 or 3 years, to reach over $15 trillion upon the average rate of GDP averaged growth at 3.0 percent. The US productivity will increase rapidly yearly and labor force is projected to reach 165 million in the next 10 years. Beside the real Export expects to grow stronger than import reflects the government ‘effort to shrink its trade deficit. U.S has an average population increase less than 1.1% and 1.2% for employment growth.
In general, this economy also has to face ongoing challenges for a long-dated continuous. Although many Americans has assurance in economic field and a number of accumulators to so many belongings, still a amounts is considerable such as single mom families has to live under poverty, healthcare and education costs rises up every time. However the poverty is just about 12% in 2004, also outgrow collating with so many other countries. Those continuous economic fluctuations went through American history to the modern period. US still absolutely abide by some basic rules in its own pavilion of economic activity. The firstly most important thing is to sustain a “market economy”. The United States remains its economic theory and considers all in all best function how and when to decide production and make a value of products in order to pass interchange action of millions independent buyer and sellers over the globe. This is a real economic interest of a nation, not benefit by government or personally influences. Americans believe that in an open market system, prices almost reflect real value of its merchandise, and therefore it is an optimal instruction that gives producers what economic demands for production is necessary. There is another angle of view of new progressed economies as China, India, Russian, and Brazil have loftiness growth rating, even had where is too hot.
Inflation at these countries also has been increasing loftiness because of expend accentuation. These economies above are being to seize first position about world retail and services trading level. After a long period of time to have a better national saving and re-contribution its capital in investments and developments, People in these nations has to confront a higher demand for living, “more wealthy equal more spending”. This is a cause for World’s today increased inflation rate. The high inflation from these economies is not a brake for keeping their governments from imports restrictions. Therefore the devaluation of US dollar in last couple weeks will help US exports to enter these nation markets in the near future in which to create more jobs for our nation economy and hopefully this scenario can be final cause give securities index to United States economy during who pretty soon , over here retrieve world-wide.
World GDP has been seized by 25% from US GDP so if there are any economic and political varies in the United States can lead to World Economy caution.
While I am writing this paper, the US financial industry was too deep in problem, most of the biggest lending corporations have to fight to survive in this extremely difficult time. This crisis has been spilled over more broadly on other areas, in both national and international. The most crises have been occurred in the modern time after the great depression in 1930s and Asia financial one during 1990s. Many predict and expects from the efforts of federal government and US Central Bank, by lower the fed funds rate and money supply-pumping. If the applying the lower fed funds rate tool then will boost the rising inflation but if not then keep the slow economy goes nowhere. It does not mean World-wide economy will be in depression but at least will leads to the slowdown growth in many other economies in the following months. Firstly, it is clearly that the US consumer goods spending will be decreasing, following the World’s GDP attenuation. The second matter is the weaker US dollar currency will affect to countries depending on the US market. If the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates to stimulate its economic market, but it may be a cause to devaluate its currency to other Euro, Japan and China dollars to create a trigger United State’s export but again it be nightmare with respect to exporters Germany, Japan and Korea, and China where these economies have deeply depend into US market high-rolling export. Third, US is not only nation been faced with the bubble housing and financial crisis markets in the last years. This phenomenon also has been occurred at countries from Asia to Europe because globalization has become a reality in the past decades. More and more we are moving towards connection in one giant, global economy-one market. World also has been facing with the imbalance of population growth among developed countries like US, Japan and developing countries as China and Brazil. As regards to the real data and statistics, it showed that most of poor economies as undeveloped and developing countries have a higher country risk, higher inflation, higher dependence on national natural resources, higher population lives under poverty line and higher GDP economic growth but have a lower GDP per capita, lower life expectation at birth, lower productivity, less technology and educational system than rich or developed countries.
Finally, the most important key is now for saving the downturns of the World and US economies by know how to create and to remain a credible and healthy investment environment in which most of investors are waiting for it. The trusty has been detracted since last many corruptions. The restoration of public’s trust in business activity is a must immediately. Fiduciary crisis is under liquidity datum level caused stating buckled up and credit at Wall Street. This status also was blazing all over other financial markets in the World. Realizing that it is a flawless of domino economic theory in which national economies have been drawing along into a circle of it. This also another past decade experienced lesson likes Japan ones in 1990s. US need not only its economic and financial, fiscal reforms but US also need aboard economic partners to contribute their parts in saving US economy. US administration and economists have to realize it as a huge hole in financial crisis to find decisive solution for solving. This is not a simple issue as one or just two failure- corporations but a reflection to the whole agitated financial industry, the failure of the monetary and fiscal policies. US Central Banks itself were in difficulties could save World Economy from economic depression status’s negative impacts in the America. Presently, the capability of US Central Bank in using currency and interest rate tool to stimulate its economy is retrenched than before. World has to find best equation that can solve a thorny problem with the two answers; rising inflation and slow economic growth. The World and US’s inflation is still remains as an unsolved math.

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

BraxiL in the last two decades!





Introduction

Brazil is considering as developing country. Beside, we have fifteen European countries to be one power economy community in Europe. In generally, world economy, from east to west, has been changed rapidly in many ways as in good and bad, growth and slow last decades. First at all, it should tell the US economy is the top ranking of the World Economy. Its effects not only to Europe, Asia and Africa but South America like Brazil and other regions or group of nation as ASEAN, EU and BRIC economies (India, China, Brazil, and Russia). , Brazil is another economic growth competitor to the other economies in the World but it is appearing in South America. Its acreage is the fifth large nation in the area and the population reaches 191,908 million in 2007 or 1.3 % population growth. Brazil boundaries has been faced to the east by Atlantic Ocean and other nations as Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia…The climate here is mostly tropical but more heat in south side. Brazil has a longer history than USA or Japan. Its Colonial Era Period is from 1500s to 1822s therefore Brazil has been absorbed and obtained highly stratified society from the colonial system. Brazil was a Portuguese’s colony in the past until in the year 1822 when this country becomes an independence nation. Brazil is only country in South America to be heavy in inheriting languages and cultural from Portuguese. Even Brazil culture has been affected by these elements above but Portuguese culture is only more affection for Brazilian's close relationship event in colony episode with this empire. Portuguese is carried to here language, catholicity and colonial architecture types. There are other aspects has been contributing to Brazilian culture from Eurasia, South-American-born aboriginal and helot from Africa. In fact, Brazil could be viewed as a multicultural and multiracial society. Nowadays Brazil political system is as Federal Republic Charter under its federal constitution. It has Federal, State and City governments and its political system has three legislative, executives and judicial branches like US government. One of its republic’ politics martinet is multiparty system as encouraging and warranty about free politics. At present there are 15 big and small political parties joining in Brazil Congress. Brazil is the first leading nation about politics and economy in the South America region. However, Brazil still remains some difficult issues as unstableness in economic field and society that preventing Brazil to become an influential World power. Brazil also was facing an unstable political issue in 1964. In the first few years after main military intervention of its political issue, Brazil continues to grow fast its economy by having an economic reform and new polices. But a few years later, that Brazil has faced with a very difficult time by failing to follow these reforms. Government has faced a high national debt from foreign countries. Its government became a dictatorial system in that year. It took 15 years later for Brazil to begin rebuild its democracy and re-fix whole worst economy with an inflation reaching 25% high in 1985. In 1985, a new government was birth under a leading of President Fernando Henrique Cardoso. He has put on his platform for renew whole economic system and the first result his government been collected by preventing financial crisis in 1998. He also was pursuing the political reform following years. The most arduous problems still remains in society that is inequality in income among citizens as well as many another lancination social matters. Last few years, Brazil has resulted in resolving the “population living below poverty line.” and creating more jobs, reducing dependence on foreign oil. Brazil is another economy dragon has been growing steadily with an average GDP 4.5% every year since 2003 to 2007. The last year is at $1.836 trillion or 5.4 % and GDP per capital is to reach $9,700 in 2007 to become the largest and strongest economy in South America. In 2007, Brazil is considered as a World’ tenth largest economy for exchange rate market and it has a deep and wide market with population closed 200 million. Brazil is a premier economy in the Latin American. This is potential economy market not only for US, China but other great investment partners. With per capita income is above fair-to-middling in the World. At present, Brazil has a huge work force resource and specializing in mining, agriculture products… Its economic growth passes away overcome other economies in the region. Nowadays, Brazil opens its door wider to the global economy. Their main exporting commodities are transport equipments, iron ore, soybean, coffee, autos and footwear. Their export key partners are US 14.2%, China 9.2% Argentina 8.3%, Germany 4.4%, Japan. Most of their imports-commodities are machinery, electrical and transport equipments, chemical, oil, automotive parts and electronic merchandises. Their largest import partners are US with 20%, China 8.9% and Japan 4.6% in 2007. The trade among nations, Brazil-China reaches $2.1 trillion in 2007 compared with $1.76 trillion in 2006 or 20% per year averaged increasing.
Brazil is Latin American regional, headmost country about politics and economy. During world post-war word stage II to 1990s, most of Brazil administrations have concentrated in economic development by opening its market to the globe and establishing an independent diplomatic policy. Last few years, Brazilian has the speed increase not only with its South America neighbors but European, North America and Asia, additionally play essential in United Nation’s mission’s role. As an agricultural attribute is in good progress and fine industrial development both production and services, Brazil economy has surpassed other ones in the same region to become the better involved and expanded fields to the international market. In fact, Brazil nation is in rich natural resources, a leading about who produce cane-sugar, coffee, and a country where there is most developed ground-ranched branch, to make breeding a main activity. Brazil also has been absorbing a high technological science in many produced fields and researches from aboard. An agriculture make up 9% GDP, key product is cotton coffee, bergamot soybean, maize cane-sugar, fat-stock meat cocoa, hulled rice… Industry seizes aluminums 32% GDP, product premier that be steel, transport equipment, electrical consumer products and Services is seizing about 59% total of nation GDP.
The firstly Brazil currency was called “Cruzeiro” where it’s established by Brazil government and IMF in early 1942. Most of its exchange rate system and monetary policy has been directly control and regulate by the National Monetary Council. Brazil has applied limited flexible exchange rate regime in the late 1968. At that time US dollar is dominated currency in the World markets and because US dollar floating every time therefore Brazil’s Currency always keep closed its exchange rate relationship to the US currency. Beginning 1971s, US dollar was starting lost its value, this is cause for the “Cruzerio” Brazil currency‘s devaluation in terms of gold. The gold content of Brazil currency was also reducing since the US currency has a heavy devaluation in the 1973s. From 1942 to 1990, Brazil has eight times to change its currency and during its periods, it keeps losing the valuation till 1988, The Central Bank has required any major exchanges or payments should be pay out by gold. After few times to change its national currency and lost the currency valuation, the Brazil government has used a new exchange rate system that upon on the bands where the Band was set at Brazil real (R) R$0.98 per US. Dollar. This exchange rate system has been changing rapidly by time and its supply and demand. In fact, the flexible exchange rate regime has been used by Brazil Government since 1990 under the limited intervention from its government. This regime has been combined with the Bands where it’s controlling the money creation. Nowadays, Brazil has not change much its exchange rate system since the independently flexible regime was applied for its currency exchange in 1999s.
Conclusion

At present, Brazil average GDP is reaching 4.0% yearly from 2003 to 2007. The total consumer goods spending rising up at 3.8% annually, record to the $1.410 trillion in the year 2007 to $3.300 trillion in 2030, with an average rate of increasing and a very healthy condition of its growth, its poverty is decreasing in years to come. Many other World economists also acknowledged that Brazil economy is in balance staging of economic development, stabilization and indestructibility. It has also been recognized as a potential nation in South America about oil, ethanol, and diesel bioscience energy. In additional, Brazil has a progression in Automobile industry, surpassed France to become the sixth largest industry in the World, records at 1.69 million cars- export in the first six months of the year 2008. Although Japan was remains as World’s largest automobile industry with 6.06 million car-producing, China 5.2 million and US 4.89 million. Brazil is a potential market in the BRIC group beside China, Russia and India with the attracted capital investment of US technology corporations. It is just in August, Brazil import turnover of $17.4 billion, increasing 51% compared 2% higher than in the same last year period. This is a cause for its decreased exports at 38.4% than corresponding period of last year.
Brazil country is reached at 192 million people in 2007 to be the fifth largest nation with population, less than 2/3 United States population, and 1/6 China population where is a nation along with the prospective market in the long run and technological market but the instability of Brazil at both economic and political issues in the past were shading its growth opportunities. Even if Brazil economy has potential growth, large size and important economy but its problems still exist like corruption, analphabetic and poverty that holdbacks the big development from Brazil to become a developed nation. Brazil still has a long way to reform its whole economic and political systems, needing clear and opening policies in which directs this nation in the next level.

Monday, November 10, 2008

Japan in the past, present and future!


Introduction

Social, Political and Economy systems
Japan country is like an arc archipelago next to East side of European and Northwest Asia continent, include island chain between the North Pacific Ocean and the Sea of Japan, east of the Korean Peninsula. Japan is as an island country, have running total acreage is 377, 834 square kilometers. Its total land is likely an arched skiff where it lies along way to the near of east of Asiatic continent with an length 3,800 milestones, from 20 parallel of latitude degrees boreal that with reversions Antarctic is Okinawa, to 45 parallel of latitude degrees are boreal with same upper part the reversion Hokkaido. This terrain are being compared the length from Miami, United States tracing up to end of Montréal area of Canada. Japan has more than 3, 900 islets and 4 big reversions.
There four main islands Hokkaido, Honsnhu, Kyushu, Okinawa where the climate is so non-thermal and the weather is always dry with four different seasons during a year. Japan is named as a Sunrise country where it’s established has manifold culture. A country has sharply young flooded cheery-blossom with girls winsomely in ministry KIMOTO. It also has a special paper folding art ORIGAM tradition, palm purified that slick in tea art laws is original, floral arrangement art IKEBANA. Japan society has strokes special about culture dealt. Japanese often incline salutation by Person staf down and lowering degree Hinge Social standing of both people. This is an essential omen to reveal respect such as another custom stroke is swap. A Department of Education including science culture, sports and technology is a highest agency to manage Japan’s culture. Japan’ culture have functions and its possession role in its society nowadays, play wherewith element essential role. Japan also promotes its language to the World as a ways and means to expanding its global business. In addition, for number of non-resident learns Japanese in Japan and in the World is increasing, manifold programs and actions research also under way who is to stimulating Japanese Education. Japanese Constitution has been expressed that “No War” in which Japanese swear to chase peaceful strategy since 1946 publicly. Japanese Congress is the highest legislature branch with 512 House of Representatives and 252 senators. House of representatives has 4-years term and Senator with 6-year term. Japan is identical country about people and cultural decoction. People without Japan origination make up more than 1% only in 2002. The very quickly of progression in economic field is a cause for Japanese social changes in 1990s and 2000s from large member-family to small family with parents and children, rates drop from 44% in 1995 to 13.7% in 2000. Family’s members have been limited in each family unit, and the home residence is just enough for a few people for living.
Japan is considering as number two power country in the World Economy. After World War II Japan is a capitalistic nation, like the US. However, because of cultural differences, the resulting economic activity appears far different than US. The United State of America has privatized most of the Government run institutions. This significantly lowered the cost of running their government. On top of these, there were great restrictions of Japan's rebuilding their military - again an incredible boom for the economy. The Japanese economy suffered a crisis in the 1990's and has kept it's head above water why they continue to try to find a way of modernizing, once more, without losing either social cohesion or historical distinctiveness. It got the usual quasi-capitalistic mix with government support for advanced industries. An integrated system has been applied in Japan Economy for decades by Japanese economists that accentuate the relationship between its currency, goods and people for a long-term. There is a close connection among banking for money, companies for goods. Japan Economy has earned a great respect for its economic efficiency.
Government Role in the Economy, International Trade, Import and Export
According to Ming Wan, (1998)” Japan is often seen as a power that knows how to achieve economic success but does not know what to do in foreign policy.” (p-2) and “Japan is often considered a one-dimensional power. Different from the United States, which possesses a wide range of resources, Japan’s main instrument of foreign policy is economic power.”(p-3). This is a good example for undeveloped and developing economy nations to study the impacts and limitations of economic leverage.
As United State of America is supper economy nation in North America continent then Japan is another one in Asia, considering a strong work ethic with a high technology industrial nation but a very lower budget for its defense business. Japan is namely second place in technological powerful economy and a second largest GDP, reaches $4.3 trillion in 2007, about 2.7% GDP growth after US. After World War II Japan has been supported and influenced by U.S. policies, They all focus on economic growth, the most strongest market been invading by Japan Auto industry, the GDP has been reached 10 percent annually growth for the three decades. It was successfully in energy saving policy therefore technological electronics products and automobiles become very competitive internationally. This is a successful story in business forever to study. Japan Economy is beginning slower in 1990s with the average 1.7 % after the effects of financial crisis and assets price bubble, compared other industrial nations like Germany and USA. Real GDP grew as an average 1.5% annually from 1991 to 1999 comparing to growth in 1980s of about 4% per year. In the early 2001, the Japan government has economic reform in the relying of slow demand from US, and other Asia economies. From 2003 to 2007, its economic growth in GDP average 2.0 annually, under the pressures from other economic dragons, Japan as U.S still remains as a major economic powering the globe with among World’s largest and technological advance producers of automobiles and high tech merchandises and other electronic equipments. Japanese government make its efforts to continue the economy recovery yearly with a lower unemployment rate from 5.3% in 2003 to 4 % in 2007, lower population growth rate, and highest gross national savings with an average 27% yearly from 2003 to 2007 compared to US. 13%, an average for its national saving and U.S unemployment average rate 5.2 % yearly from 2003 to 2007.
Unlikely USA and China, Japan also has an efficient energy reform, by diversify its energy resources, lowering its dependence on imported oil from 75% in 1970s to 57% at present and having high technologies for automobiles with less gasoline driver and new introduction of Hybrid vehicles. It has a current account balance, $212.8 billion in 2007 comparing to U.S negative balance, -$738.6 billion, China $360.7 billion and Brazil 3.5 billion .Japan focus on export commodities such as transport equipments, motor vehicles, semiconductors and other high tech electronics. Their key partners for trade are USA with 20,4 %, China 15.3% South Korea 7.6 %, Taiwan 6.3 % and Hong Kong 5.4%. Although Government executes a series of reforms and its effort to revise economic growth but there are little results for its success.
Exchange Rate System and Flawless Policies
In fact, the Japan productivity is lower 30 percent than American labors. Meanwhile, Japan industrial fields have faced a lot of competitions from China in product quality and quantity and competitive price. Beside Japanese economy has to paid with a high cost of energy and a rise on cost of goods transportation in which will still gone on to affected negative exchange rate. Not like US Federal Reserve, most of the Japanese financial activities has been under the monitor and administrated by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. The Japanese government directly has been controlled all foreign investment and trading before 1949s. There are also a multiple exchange rates at that time and it has been run under the market economic policy. In the mid 1949 Japan decide to switch its plural exchange rate regime to a single exchange rate regime. This change continues its activity until 1960s under that progressed trade liberation. From 1960 to 1971 Japan has applied fixed exchange rate regime to rely US dollar but in the early 1971 Japanese government was beginning use the flexible exchange rate regime to allow its currency (Yen) to be floated above its fluctuation ceiling and an effective rate. In that time, the US dollar has lost its value and continuing devaluation, so the main cause to push Japan’ establishing and controlling exchange rates under the flexible exchange rate system as a basis. This is an open door for the freely floating of the effective rate of Japan currency. Japan begins to determine the exchange rate upon the supply and demand conditions. Likely responsibilities as US Federal Reserve, Ministry of Japanese Finance and authorized Central banks will intervene in the currency market when its currency has been fluctuated disorderly. At present, Japan flexible exchange rate regime has not been changed much lately.
The current economy and the outlook for the next many years to come
Japan, although population density is big, par excellence live in metropolitan area but Japans has a loftiness standard of living. Japan industry is at the second ranking in the world, although it has been considered as a very poor country about natural resources. Most of productions are being depended on imported material, as 90% of energy from foreign imported oil. Japanese economically accomplishments are in centralized of invented production phyla. At present, The Japanese overall economy has not been changing much upon the national real GDP in 2007 and 2008 at 2.1%. The inflation has also keep low increasing at 2.0% in August 2008. The Japanese export is heading slowing down in June 2008 at 1.7% while import of record level at 16.2% rises, by impacts from falling World economy, the American financial crisis and the high demand oil and price that affected disadvantageous to this power of Asiatic most largest economy. Japanese trade surplus has also been decreased in June 2008 $1.28 billion or 89% in the same period of the last year, 2007. According to the BBC news, “Japan's trade surplus shrank by more than expected in July, due to weaker US demand and an increase in oil imports. The surplus fell to 91.15bn yen ($830.5m; £444.2m), down 86.6% from the same period a year earlier.” (P-1) The difference among US, China, Brazil are facing with a higher inflation than Japan has a lowest inflation of status where Japanese and its enterprises at this sunrise country are waiting inflation to come back, with more than a decade under the sustained deflation. Many past years, Japanese economy was in average at 1.0% deflation because Japanese consumers are limited in spending of automobile, consumed goods and so on but more on saving plans and home cash reserves. Moreover, the high cost of energy along with the rising expenditure prices to cut back their expenses to cause Japan‘s GDP and CPI index to increase negligible. Firstly, it should stimulate its economy by spending packages where Japan will always hope inflation index has boost omen diligently. Secondly, to remains as the competitive and largest economy ranking in Asia, Japan should consider a labor reform by building a powerful manpower resource with a high labor skill and knowledge to rely the better productivity. Japan can also open their door for foreign labors. Looking at US economy’s productivity still remains as highest level. Although Japan should be considered as good stage as maintaining its industrial base and have a better in national saving plan and a huge capital resources and reserves those can continues to show its strong economic outlook. But Japan also should pay attention to its declines in the population growth that is a threat to the long term rapid economic growth. In additional, the higher percentage rate in elders than younger generation will give a pressure on the pension system and given short on its workforce.
According to the Yuichi,”The life expectancy in Japan in the longest in the world. In 1995, average life expectancy at birth was 76 years for male and 82 years for females.”(P-3)